Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:33:39 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,483
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Hermans/Marcondes and Becroft/Delaney in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Hermans/Marcondes” if Hermans/Marcondes wins the first set. It will resolve to “Becroft/Delaney” if Becroft/Delaney wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market is evenly split with a 50% probability for either team to win the first set. The outcome is highly contingent on match execution, as unresolved scenarios default to a 50-50 resolution.
Hermans/Marcondes could leverage strong serve-and-volley play or aggressive baseline tactics to dominate the first set, capitalizing on Becroft/Delaney's potential weaknesses in return games or net play.
Becroft/Delaney may exploit Hermans/Marcondes' vulnerabilities in serve consistency or double-fault tendencies, securing the first set through disciplined baseline rallies or effective break-point conversion.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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