Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
Calibrated 100% · raw 500% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 7/1/2026, 4:45:36 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 41% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
45%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+5.0
Opportunity
3.5
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,491,242
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 500.0¢
Entry: 42-48
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
2 points
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Grevelius/Poljak and Castelnuovo/Santillan in the Brasov, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Grevelius/Poljak' if the team of Grevelius/Poljak advances against Castelnuovo/Santillan. This market will resolve to 'Castelnuovo/Santillan' if the team of Castelnuovo/Santillan advances against Grevelius/Poljak. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The doubles tennis match between Grevelius/Poljak and Castelnuovo/Santillan in Brasov has an even 50% probability, reflecting high uncertainty or balanced expectations between the two teams. No clear favorite emerges due to limited public data on team performance or recent form.
Grevelius/Poljak could win if their recent doubles performance is strong, their chemistry is superior, or Castelnuovo/Santillan face fatigue or injury. Upsets in lower-tier tournaments often favor higher-ranked or more experienced teams.
Castelnuovo/Santillan may prevail if they have a proven track record as a duo, stronger recent results, or if Grevelius/Poljak struggle with consistency or surface conditions. External factors like weather or scheduling could also play a role.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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