Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Incomplete match resolution (50-50 outcome)
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:22:52 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,483
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Manas/Pawlak and Evrard/Hernandez-Aguila in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Manas/Pawlak" if Manas/Pawlak wins by 2 or more sets than Evrard/Hernandez-Aguila, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Evrard/Hernandez-Aguila." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the tennis doubles match between Manas/Pawlak (-1.5) and Evrard/Hernandez-Aguila (+1.5) is evenly split, indicating no clear favorite. The handicap implies a slight edge to Manas/Pawlak, but the 50% probability suggests uncertainty or balanced expectations.
Manas/Pawlak's team benefits from strong individual performances, favorable court conditions, or Evrard/Hernandez-Aguila's fatigue or injury, leading to a 2-set or greater victory. A dominant serving performance or tactical superiority could swing the market in their favor.
Evrard/Hernandez-Aguila's team capitalizes on Manas/Pawlak's weaknesses, such as inconsistent returns or poor net play, to win by a single set or force a 50-50 resolution if the match is incomplete. External factors like weather delays or scheduling conflicts could also favor them.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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