Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match_cancellation_delay
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:32:34 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,483
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Echazu/Osorio and Alvarez/Hernandez in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of sets completed equals or exceeds 3. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." A super tie breaker is considered as one (1) set for total set markets. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Echazu/Osorio vs. Alvarez/Hernandez tennis match total sets over/under 2.5 is evenly split, indicating high uncertainty about match length. The 50% probability reflects balanced expectations with no dominant bias toward over or under.
A bullish outlook would favor a high-total-sets outcome (3+ sets) if either team has a history of long, endurance-based matches or if conditions (e.g., altitude in Quito) favor slower play. Aggressive serving or high-energy playstyles could also prolong the match.
A bearish outlook would favor an under outcome (2 sets) if the match features dominant servers or if one team is significantly stronger, leading to quick straight-sets victories. Weather disruptions or early retirements could also skew the total downward.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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