Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential match cancellation or postponement
Calibrated 100% · raw 1050% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 2:01:52 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
86%
ORYN Consensus
76%
Signal Score
-10.5
Opportunity
8.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,127,852
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1050.0¢
Entry: 83-89
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
12 points
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Cervantes/Molchanov and Cretu/Taylor in the Brasov, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Cervantes/Molchanov' if the team of Cervantes/Molchanov advances against Cretu/Taylor. This market will resolve to 'Cretu/Taylor' if the team of Cretu/Taylor advances against Cervantes/Molchanov. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Cervantes/Molchanov (75.50%) to win the doubles tennis match against Cretu/Taylor in Brasov. The match is scheduled for June 30, 2026, with resolution based on official ATP Tour sources.
Cervantes/Molchanov are favored due to their higher current ranking (top 30 doubles pair) and stronger recent form, including a title win in Bucharest last month. Cretu/Taylor, while solid, have a lower combined ranking and less recent success, making Cervantes/Molchanov the safer bet.
Cretu/Taylor could upset Cervantes/Molchanov if they exploit tactical weaknesses or if Cervantes/Molchanov face fatigue from a recent tournament. External factors like weather delays or referee decisions could also influence the outcome.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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