Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: last-minute withdrawals or injuries
Calibrated 100% · raw 2650% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:01:23 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
74%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-26.5
Opportunity
17.2
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
963,132
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -2650.0¢
Entry: 71-77
—
Resolution
9d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
13 points
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Casanova/Sakamoto and Galarraga/Yunez in the Quito, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Casanova/Sakamoto' if the team of Casanova/Sakamoto advances against Galarraga/Yunez. This market will resolve to 'Galarraga/Yunez' if the team of Galarraga/Yunez advances against Casanova/Sakamoto. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Quito doubles match between Casanova/Sakamoto and Galarraga/Yunez is currently split, with Galarraga/Yunez slightly favored at 52.5% (implied by 47.5% for Casanova/Sakamoto). The match's outcome is highly uncertain due to evenly matched teams and external factors like player form or injuries.
Casanova/Sakamoto could win if they leverage strong grass-court experience, improved team chemistry, or underdog momentum to upset the higher-ranked Galarraga/Yunez. Early momentum or a dominant serving game could tilt the odds in their favor.
Galarraga/Yunez may secure the win due to their higher ATP rankings, consistent doubles performance, or potential home-court advantage in Quito. Fatigue or injury to Casanova/Sakamoto could further favor the top seeds.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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