Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond resolution criteria
Calibrated 100% · raw 2450% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/30/2026, 11:15:32 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 50% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
73%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
-24.5
Opportunity
18.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
2,157,177
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -2450.0¢
Entry: 70-76
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
14 points
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Bass/Mackinlay and Hsu/Zhu in the Troyes, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Bass/Mackinlay' if the team of Bass/Mackinlay advances against Hsu/Zhu. This market will resolve to 'Hsu/Zhu' if the team of Hsu/Zhu advances against Bass/Mackinlay. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Troyes doubles tennis match between Bass/Mackinlay and Hsu/Zhu is currently at 48.00%, indicating a near-even split in expected outcomes. The match's timing and lack of historical data on the teams' performances contribute to the uncertainty.
Bass/Mackinlay may be favored due to their perceived stronger recent form or head-to-head advantages against Hsu/Zhu. If Bass/Mackinlay are in better form or have a tactical edge, their probability could rise as the match approaches.
Hsu/Zhu could be seen as underdogs with a higher chance of winning if they have been performing well in recent tournaments or have specific strengths against Bass/Mackinlay. External factors like injuries or fatigue could also sway the market.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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