Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_withdrawals_or_injuries
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:33:52 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Bass/Mackinlay and Erler/Erler in the Troyes, originally scheduled for June 30, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bass/Mackinlay" if Bass/Mackinlay wins by 2 or more sets than Erler/Erler, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Erler/Erler." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the tennis doubles match between Bass/Mackinlay (-1.5) vs Erler/Erler (+1.5) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty in the handicap outcome. The handicap favors Bass/Mackinlay by requiring a 2-set margin of victory, making the resolution contingent on match dynamics and player performance.
Bass/Mackinlay’s handicap advantage of -1.5 suggests potential for a dominant performance, especially if their serving or net play disrupts Erler/Erler’s rhythm. Historical data or surface preferences (e.g., clay courts in Troyes) could favor their style, leading to a straight-sets or 2-set margin win.
Erler/Erler’s +1.5 handicap allows for a narrower margin of defeat, making them the safer bet if the match is competitive or goes to a deciding set. Bass/Mackinlay’s lack of recent form or Erler/Erler’s consistency in doubles could tilt the odds against the handicap favorite.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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