Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Injury or withdrawal prior to the match
AI updated 6/29/2026, 12:45:17 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
28%
ORYN Consensus
28%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,542,595
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 26-31
—
Resolution
6d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Marin Cilic and Daniil Medvedev in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Marin Cilic' if Marin Cilic advances against Daniil Medvedev. This market will resolve to 'Daniil Medvedev' if Daniil Medvedev advances against Marin Cilic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
This prediction market assesses a tennis match between Marin Čilić and Daniil Medvedev at Wimbledon ATP in 2026, with Medvedev currently favored at 71.5% probability. The outcome hinges on player form, head-to-head dynamics, and potential match conditions.
Medvedev’s superior recent form on grass and hard courts, along with his higher ATP ranking, strengthens his bullish case. His consistent performance in Grand Slams and ability to handle high-pressure matches could favor his advancement.
Čilić’s experience on grass courts and his past success against top-10 players, including Medvedev, provide a bearish counter-narrative. Fatigue or injury risks for Medvedev could also tilt the odds in Čilić’s favor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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