Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match postponement or cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 6/28/2026, 5:20:05 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,623
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 0.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
8d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
1 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Hayato Matsuoka and Liam Broady in the Cary, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Matsuoka" if Hayato Matsuoka wins by 2 or more sets than Liam Broady, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Broady." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger results.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Matsuoka (-1.5) vs Broady (+1.5) is evenly split at 50%, reflecting equal uncertainty between Matsuoka winning by two or more sets or Broady avoiding such a deficit. The handicap implies a close match where either player could edge out a narrow victory.
Matsuoka could outperform expectations by winning decisively in straight sets or by a 2-set margin, particularly if he dominates service games or exploits Broady's weaknesses in baseline rallies. A strong grass-court performance (if applicable) or momentum from recent tournaments may favor him.
Broady may secure the handicap by winning in 3 sets or forcing a 4th set, leveraging his consistency or Matsuoka's potential fatigue. External factors like weather disruptions or injury could also swing the match in his favor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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