Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_retirement
AI updated 7/2/2026, 2:30:22 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
52%
ORYN Consensus
53%
Signal Score
+0.5
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV 50.0¢
Entry: 49-55
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
2
Price history
21 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Zizou Bergs and Jaime Faria in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for July 2, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 39. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Bergs vs. Faria (Match O/U 38.5) is marginally favoring the 'Over' outcome with a 52.50% probability. This suggests a slight lean toward a high-scoring match, though the margin remains within uncertainty bounds.
The 'Over' outcome is supported by the potential for an aggressive playing style from either player, known for their baseline dominance in ATP tournaments. Additionally, Wimbledon's grass surface historically favors high-pace matches with fewer games per set, increasing the likelihood of exceeding 38.5 total games.
The 'Under' outcome is plausible if the match features strong serving performances, leading to quick holds and fewer total games. Weather disruptions or a defensive playing style could also reduce the total games below the threshold, especially in early rounds where fatigue is less of a factor.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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