Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: unexpected_injury
Calibrated 100% · raw 250% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 1:15:33 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
54%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
-2.5
Opportunity
1.6
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,107,566
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -250.0¢
Entry: 50-57
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
11 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Mattia Bellucci and Zachary Svajda in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Bellucci” if Mattia Bellucci wins the first set. It will resolve to “Svajda” if Zachary Svajda wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The market for the Wimbledon ATP first-set winner between Mattia Bellucci and Zachary Svajda is evenly split, reflecting minimal initial bias toward either player. The 50.50% probability suggests no dominant favorite based on current available data.
Bellucci could win the first set due to his higher ATP ranking (120 vs Svajda's 150) and slightly better hard-court performance (Bellucci has reached the third round of a Slam on hard courts, while Svajda has not). His aggressive baseline game may exploit Svajda's occasional inconsistency.
Svajda may overcome Bellucci in the first set by leveraging his stronger serve (higher ace rate in recent matches) and clay-court experience (better than Bellucci's 0-2 record in Slam main draws). Bellucci's recent form is also less impressive, with early exits in multiple tournaments.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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