Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay due to external factors (e.g., weather)
Calibrated 100% · raw 1550% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 4:18:42 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 21% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
35%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
+15.5
Opportunity
9.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1550.0¢
Entry: 31-38
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
9 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Luca Van Assche and Marton Fucsovics in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Luca Van Assche' if Luca Van Assche advances against Marton Fucsovics. This market will resolve to 'Marton Fucsovics' if Marton Fucsovics advances against Luca Van Assche. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for the Wimbledon ATP match between Luca Van Assche and Marton Fucsovics shows a 50% probability for either player to advance, indicating balanced expectations with no clear favorite. The neutral starting point reflects limited pre-match data or historical dominance between the two players.
Luca Van Assche could emerge as the favorite if his recent form, grass-court adaptability, or head-to-head dominance over Marton Fucsovics is factored in, pushing his odds above 50%. A strong serve or baseline game on grass courts could tilt the market in his favor.
Marton Fucsovics might gain traction if his experience in high-pressure Wimbledon matches or Van Assche's vulnerability to aggressive net play is considered, potentially shifting the market toward his favor. Fatigue or injury concerns could also favor Fucsovics.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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