Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: match cancellation or delay
Calibrated 100% · raw 620% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 12:16:24 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
83%
ORYN Consensus
77%
Signal Score
-6.2
Opportunity
4.8
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,092,029
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -620.0¢
Entry: 80-86
—
Resolution
7d
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
7 points
This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Miguel Tobon in the Milan, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against Miguel Tobon. This market will resolve to 'Miguel Tobon' if Miguel Tobon advances against Facundo Acosta. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market favors Facundo Acosta with a 76.95% probability of winning against Miguel Tobon in the Milan tennis match scheduled for June 29, 2026. The high confidence reflects Acosta's perceived dominance or superior form in recent performances.
Facundo Acosta is favored due to his recent strong performances, higher ATP ranking, or head-to-head advantage against Miguel Tobon. His aggressive playing style or clay-court proficiency (assuming Milan uses clay) could further enhance his chances.
Miguel Tobon could upset Acosta if he demonstrates superior fitness, tactical adjustments, or recent form improvements. External factors like weather conditions, injury concerns, or Acosta's off-day performance may also reduce Acosta's probability.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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