Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Burns' lack of recent Top 5 finishes at this specific tournament
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:15:29 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
16%
ORYN Consensus
15%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
965,483
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV -50.0¢
Entry: 12-18
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
5 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Sam Burns has a 15% probability of finishing in the Top 5 at the 2026 Travelers Championship, reflecting moderate market confidence. Historical performance and recent form are key considerations in this low-probability outcome.
Sam Burns has demonstrated strong recent form, finishing in the Top 10 in 3 of his last 10 PGA Tour events, including a win at the 2024 Charles Schwab Challenge. His consistency and ability to perform under pressure could translate to a Top 5 finish at a tournament like the Travelers Championship, known for its challenging layout.
Sam Burns has not finished in the Top 5 in any of his last 5 appearances at the Travelers Championship, with an average finish of 42nd. The tournament's competitive field and Burns' inconsistent recent performances outside major events reduce the likelihood of a Top 5 finish.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
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