Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: injury concerns
AI updated 6/28/2026, 6:30:47 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
49%
Signal Score
-0.5
Opportunity
0.3
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,217,718
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
MEDIUM
EV -45.0¢
Entry: 47-53
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
7 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 5 at the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market shows a near-even split (49.1%) on whether Bud Cauley will finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Travelers Championship, indicating high uncertainty. Performance consistency and tournament-specific factors will be critical determinants.
Bud Cauley could finish in the Top 5 if he maintains strong form, capitalizes on favorable course conditions, and benefits from a weaker field compared to major tournaments. Recent performances and course history may also favor his chances.
Bud Cauley’s Top 5 finish is unlikely if he struggles with consistency, faces a highly competitive field, or encounters adverse weather conditions. Injuries or off-form performances could further diminish his prospects.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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