Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Potential injury or fitness decline
Calibrated 100% · raw 1450% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:15:41 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
98%
ORYN Consensus
84%
Signal Score
-14.5
Opportunity
11.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,241,531
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -1450.0¢
Entry: 95-100
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
5 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
Nicolai Hojgaard has an 83.5% probability to finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Travelers Championship, reflecting strong market confidence in his performance. His recent form, course history, and competitive standing support this outlook.
Hojgaard’s consistent top-20 finishes in 2024 and early 2025 suggest he is trending toward peak performance by 2026. His affinity for tournament-style courses like the Travelers Championship, combined with strong driving accuracy and putting stats, positions him favorably for a Top 20 finish.
Injury risks or a sudden decline in form could derail Hojgaard’s progress, as seen with his inconsistent performances in late 2024. The Travelers Championship’s competitive field may also pose challenges if he faces top-ranked opponents early in the tournament.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
Route to regulated venues when you are ready. ORYN never holds your funds.
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