Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Unpredictable tournament conditions or weather disruptions
Calibrated 100% · raw 4595% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/28/2026, 8:15:46 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
2%
ORYN Consensus
48%
Signal Score
+46.0
Opportunity
29.9
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
50/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
112
Avg slippage
5414 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
520ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
1,240,576
Trades learned
112
Strategies
4
Providers scored
8
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 4595.0¢
Entry: 0-5
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
0
Price history
9 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed player finishes in the top 20 at the 2026 Travelers Championship tournament, including ties. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If final results are not announced by July 4, 2026 at 8:00PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the PGA Tour website (https://www.pgatour.com/).
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates a near-even split on whether Matt McCarty will finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 Travelers Championship, with a 47.95% probability. This reflects moderate uncertainty about his performance at the event.
Matt McCarty could finish in the Top 20 if he maintains strong form, capitalizes on favorable course conditions, or benefits from a favorable draw. A recent upward trend in his rankings or improved consistency in tournaments could support this outcome.
Matt McCarty may struggle to finish in the Top 20 due to inconsistent performance, tough competition, or unfavorable course conditions. Injuries, fatigue, or a lack of recent success could also negatively impact his chances.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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