This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Aoi Ito in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Yastremska” if Dayana Yastremska wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ito” if Aoi Ito wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Key risk: match_cancellation_delay
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:04:01 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Dayana Yastremska and Aoi Ito in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Yastremska” if Dayana Yastremska wins the first set. It will resolve to “Ito” if Aoi Ito wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.1
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for the winner of the first set between Dayana Yastremska and Aoi Ito is perfectly balanced at 50%, reflecting equal uncertainty in the outcome. No clear favorite emerges from current data or recent form.
Yastremska's aggressive baseline game and higher career ranking (ITF #1 in 2023) could give her an edge in a first-set decider, especially on grass where her power serves may dominate. Ito, while rising, has fewer high-pressure set wins against top-50 opponents.
Ito's consistent performance in 2024-25 WTA Challenger events and her left-handed serve (a tactical advantage on grass) may neutralize Yastremska's power. Yastremska's recent injury history (2025 wrist issue) could resurface under Wimbledon pressure.
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Set 1 Winner: Yastremska vs Ito is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
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