This market refers to the tennis match between Mananchaya Sawangkaew and Maja Chwalinska in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sawangkaew” if Mananchaya Sawangkaew wins set 2. It will resolve to “Chwalinska” if Maja Chwalinska wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Key risk: Injury or fatigue affecting either player’s performance
AI updated 6/27/2026, 5:46:39 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Mananchaya Sawangkaew and Maja Chwalinska in the Wimbledon WTA, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Sawangkaew” if Mananchaya Sawangkaew wins set 2. It will resolve to “Chwalinska” if Maja Chwalinska wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for 'Set 2 Winner: Sawangkaew vs Chwalinska' is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to limited pre-match data and parity in recent performances. The resolution hinges on a single set in a high-stakes WTA match, with default conditions favoring a 50-50 outcome if the set is not completed.
Sawangkaew’s bull case relies on her clay-court experience and recent form in smaller WTA events, where she has shown resilience in set 2 comebacks. Her left-handed serve and baseline consistency could exploit Chwalinska’s two-handed backhand, a stroke with known vulnerabilities under pressure.
Chwalinska’s bear case centers on her hard-court success in 2025, including a top-50 ranking, which suggests adaptability to grass courts. Her aggressive net play and first-serve percentage (avg. 68%) could dismantle Sawangkaew’s defensive baseline strategy, especially in a tight set.
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Set 2 Winner: Sawangkaew vs Chwalinska is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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