This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will be considered part of the MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has won 100 or more games within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Key risk: Injuries to franchise players
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:35:52 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season. Otherwise, the associated market will resolve to "No". If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB regular season (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". Any tiebreaker or “Game 163” will be considered part of the MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the listed team has won 100 or more games within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Crowd Consensus
11%
ORYN Consensus
11%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The St. Louis Cardinals have a low but non-negligible chance of winning 100+ games in the 2026 MLB season, with an 11% market probability. Historical performance and roster stability suggest moderate optimism, but injury risks and competitive division dynamics temper expectations.
The Cardinals' strong farm system and core lineup could position them for a 100-win season if key players stay healthy and pitching depth delivers. A favorable schedule and potential midseason trades could also bolster their odds. Recent trends under current management favor sustained competitiveness.
Injuries to star players (e.g., Paul Goldschmidt, Nolan Arenado) or pitching staff could derail their season, as depth is critical for 100 wins. The NL Central's parity (Cubs, Brewers) and potential free-agent departures may limit their ceiling. Historical inconsistency in close games could also be a factor.
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Will the St. Louis Cardinals win 100 or more games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 11% while ORYN AI estimates 11%.
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