This market will resolve according to "Yes" if any single game ends in under 20 minutes(19:59 or less) as officially reported by lolesports(https://lolesports.com/en-GB/tournament/115570934354631452/stage/115570934355090206) at MSI 2026, currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Play-in matches will count for the purposes of this market. If the results of MSI 2026 are not determined by July 26, 2026 11:59 pm ET, the event is cancelled or postponed past July 26, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Key risk: technical issues or early forfeits
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:45:59 PM
This market will resolve according to "Yes" if any single game ends in under 20 minutes(19:59 or less) as officially reported by lolesports(https://lolesports.com/en-GB/tournament/115570934354631452/stage/115570934355090206) at MSI 2026, currently scheduled for June 28 - July 12, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Play-in matches will count for the purposes of this market. If the results of MSI 2026 are not determined by July 26, 2026 11:59 pm ET, the event is cancelled or postponed past July 26, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/Mid-Season_Invitational/2026) may also be used.
Crowd Consensus
10%
ORYN Consensus
5%
Signal Score
-5.0
Opportunity
4.3
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market assesses the likelihood of any single game at MSI 2026 concluding in under 20 minutes, based on historical LoL Esports data and tournament structure. The current probability of 11.00% suggests low market confidence in such an outcome.
Historical LoL Esports games rarely end under 20 minutes due to the game's design and meta. However, potential bull cases include extreme early-game snowballing (e.g., first blood at 0:30, inhibitor destruction by 12:00) or technical issues causing early forfeits. Play-in matches, with potentially less experienced teams, could also skew the probability upward.
The game's inherent design and meta make sub-20-minute games highly unlikely. Professional teams at MSI 2026 are expected to be highly skilled, reducing the chance of early-game dominance. Additionally, tournament organizers may enforce minimum match durations to maintain broadcast schedules and viewer engagement.
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Will Any Msi Game End Before 20 Minutes? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 10% while ORYN AI estimates 5%.
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