Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Cesar Almeida and Damian Pinas at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Key risk: Fight being canceled or rescheduled beyond the resolution window
AI updated 6/27/2026, 10:18:46 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Cesar Almeida and Damian Pinas at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond July 25, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The O/U 2.5 Rounds market for UFC 329: Almeida vs. Pinas is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty about the fight's duration. The threshold at Round 3 (2:30 mark) creates a binary outcome dependent on early stoppage or extended action.
A bullish scenario favors 'Over 2.5 Rounds' if the fight develops into a competitive grappling or striking battle, increasing the likelihood of a decision or late stoppage. High-profile matchups often favor longer durations due to tactical depth.
A bearish outcome favors 'Under 2.5 Rounds' if either fighter secures an early knockout or submission, common in high-stakes welterweight bouts. Explosive finishes are statistically prevalent in UFC main events.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
O/U 2.5 Rounds is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
