This market refers to the tennis match between Lukas Pokorny and Mathys Picard in the ITF Monastir, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 4:45AM ET. This market will resolve to “Pokorny” if Lukas Pokorny wins the first set. It will resolve to “Picard” if Mathys Picard wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.
Key risk: match_cancellation_or_delay_beyond_resolution_window
AI updated 6/27/2026, 5:46:57 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Lukas Pokorny and Mathys Picard in the ITF Monastir, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 4:45AM ET. This market will resolve to “Pokorny” if Lukas Pokorny wins the first set. It will resolve to “Picard” if Mathys Picard wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF match statistics.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for the first-set winner between Lukas Pokorny and Mathys Picard in the ITF Monastir match is evenly split, indicating no clear favorite. The 50% probability reflects equal uncertainty or perceived parity between the two players.
Pokorny could be favored due to recent form, head-to-head dominance, or surface suitability, leading to a higher probability of winning the first set. A strong serve or baseline game might tilt odds in his favor.
Picard may have a tactical edge, such as better grass-court experience or superior clay-court adaptability if the match is played on that surface. Fatigue or injury concerns for Pokorny could also reduce his chances.
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Set 1 Winner: Pokorny vs Picard is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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