This market refers to the tennis match between Deborah Chiesa and Radka Zelnickova in the ITF Tarvisio, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Chiesa" if Deborah Chiesa wins by 2 or more sets than Radka Zelnickova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Zelnickova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay (resolves 50-50)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 5:20:36 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Deborah Chiesa and Radka Zelnickova in the ITF Tarvisio, originally scheduled for June 27, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Chiesa" if Deborah Chiesa wins by 2 or more sets than Radka Zelnickova, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Zelnickova." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Chiesa (-1.5) vs Zelnickova (+1.5) is currently at a neutral 50% probability, indicating no clear favorite in the ITF Tarvisio match. The handicap implies an expectation of a close contest, with Chiesa favored to win by at least two sets.
Chiesa's probability of winning by 2+ sets could be supported by her higher ranking (ITF #300 vs Zelnickova's #350), clay-court experience (both players are clay specialists), and potential home advantage if the match is held in Italy. If Chiesa enters the match in strong form, her odds improve.
Zelnickova could overcome the handicap if she outperforms expectations, particularly if Chiesa is fatigued or injury-prone. The 50-50 resolution in case of a match delay or cancellation also introduces downside risk for Chiesa backers. Weather or scheduling issues could disrupt the match.
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Set Handicap: Chiesa (-1.5) vs Zelnickova (+1.5) is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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