This market refers to the tennis match between Karla Bartel and Arina Arifullina in the ITF Monastir, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bartel" if Karla Bartel wins by 2 or more sets than Arina Arifullina, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arifullina." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days (50-50 resolution)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 11:17:49 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market refers to the tennis match between Karla Bartel and Arina Arifullina in the ITF Monastir, originally scheduled for June 28, 2026 at 4:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bartel" if Karla Bartel wins by 2 or more sets than Arina Arifullina, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Arifullina." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ITF results.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Karla Bartel (-1.5) vs Arina Arifullina (+1.5) in the ITF Monastir match is evenly split at 50%, reflecting uncertainty due to Bartel's handicap requirement and the match's early scheduling. The resolution hinges on Bartel winning by two sets or more, a non-trivial outcome given the handicap.
Bartel's odds improve if she demonstrates superior form in the lead-up to the match, particularly on surfaces favoring her game style (e.g., hardcourt). A strong serve-and-volley or baseline dominance could justify the handicap, as markets may anticipate her ability to secure a two-set margin.
Arifullina's chances rise if Bartel struggles with consistency or injuries, or if Arifullina's all-court game neutralizes Bartel's strengths. The handicap (-1.5) implies Bartel must win decisively, which may deter confidence if Arifullina has recent upsets or Bartel's recent performances are mediocre.
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Set Handicap: Bartel (-1.5) vs Arifullina (+1.5) is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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