Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets leading to sudden price swings
Calibrated 100% · raw 1460% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:00:29 AM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 23% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
0%
ORYN Consensus
15%
Signal Score
+14.6
Opportunity
13.4
Related markets and connected predictions
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV 1460.0¢
Entry: 0-3
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
8
Price history
6 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market for Ethereum's price above $2,100 on June 28 shows an extremely low probability (0.15%) based on current Binance ETH/USDT data. Technical indicators and recent market trends suggest significant resistance at this level.
Ethereum could surpass $2,100 if a major bullish catalyst emerges, such as a surprise Ethereum ETF approval, strong institutional buying, or a broader crypto market rally. Short-term momentum spikes or high volatility could temporarily push prices above this threshold.
Ethereum is unlikely to close above $2,100 given current market conditions and the 0.15% probability. Persistent macroeconomic headwinds, regulatory uncertainty, or a broader market downturn could keep prices suppressed.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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