Market Trading Terminal · RC10
Key risk: Volatility due to low liquidity in 1-minute candles on Binance
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:46:50 PM
Microstructure, quotes, and decision memory
Live market activity from the aggregated feed. Two-sided quotes appear when an order book is available for this market.
Who contributed to this decision
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| pricing_ensemble | 0 | 22% | Global only |
ORYN polls Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — consensus appears as models respond.
Crowd Consensus
2%
ORYN Consensus
2%
Signal Score
-0.1
Opportunity
0.1
Graph Relationships
Related markets and connected predictions
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Ethereum price above $1,900 on July 2 -> Manifund's loan to @MarcusAbramovitch's crypto fund repaid without incident
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Ethereum price above $1,900 on July 2 -> Bitcoin reaches $30,000 in 2023
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Ethereum price above $1,900 on July 2 -> Fed's lower bound reaches 0.5% or lower before 2027
Simulated execution for this market
Quality score
49/100
Fill rate
100%
Executions
125
Avg slippage
4486 bps
Open positions
0
Latency
565ms
Platform-wide model improvement
Events
12,367,148
Trades learned
125
Strategies
5
Providers scored
9
Counterfactual strategy simulations
No replay comparisons for this market yet. Replay runs as markets resolve and accumulate snapshots. Replay lab →
LOW
EV -15.0¢
Entry: 0-5
—
Resolution
Past
Decision snapshots
12
Price history
10 points
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd-implied vs ORYN AI fair value over time, with decision markers
The prediction market indicates a low probability (1.75%) that Ethereum's price will exceed $1,900 on July 2 at 12:00 ET, based on Binance's 1-minute candle close. This reflects bearish sentiment given Ethereum's recent price action and broader market conditions.
Ethereum could surpass $1,900 if a sudden surge in demand occurs due to a major positive catalyst, such as a spot ETF approval, strong institutional adoption, or a bullish macroeconomic shift. Short-term technical breakouts above key resistance levels might also trigger FOMO-driven buying.
Ethereum may fail to reach $1,900 if market sentiment remains risk-averse due to regulatory uncertainty, macroeconomic headwinds, or a broader crypto market downturn. A lack of volume or negative news flow could suppress upward price momentum.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
Trade links and live readiness
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