This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Exchange-specific liquidity constraints on Binance
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:19:16 AM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.5
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Ethereum above 1,640 at the specified time shows a neutral probability of 50%, indicating balanced expectations between bullish and bearish outcomes. The resolution is strictly tied to Binance's ETH/USDT 1-hour candle close price.
Ethereum could surpass 1,640 if positive market sentiment persists, driven by potential ETF approvals, institutional adoption, or broader crypto market rallies. Technical indicators like momentum or breakout patterns may also support a price surge.
Ethereum may fail to reach 1,640 if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., regulatory uncertainty, Fed policy shifts) dampen risk appetite. Weak on-chain activity or profit-taking post-large moves could also cap gains.
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Ethereum above 1,640 on June 27, 3AM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
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