This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets due to external shocks
AI updated 6/26/2026, 7:03:44 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the ETH/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Ethereum (ETH/USDT) closing above 1,600 on June 26 at 4PM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating a highly uncertain outlook with no clear directional bias. The market reflects balanced risk perception between bullish and bearish catalysts in the near term.
Ethereum could surpass 1,600 if macroeconomic conditions improve, with potential Federal Reserve rate cut expectations or risk-on sentiment driving demand. Additionally, a sustained rally in Bitcoin or renewed DeFi activity could lift ETH above resistance levels.
Ethereum may fail to clear 1,600 if broader crypto market sentiment remains weak due to regulatory uncertainty or macroeconomic headwinds. A rejection at key resistance levels or negative on-chain metrics (e.g., declining TVL) could trigger a pullback.
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Ethereum above 1,600 on June 26, 4PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
