This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Natus Vincere and HULIGANI each kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Key risk: Incomplete match data (e.g., remakes, delays)
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:17:31 PM
This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Natus Vincere and HULIGANI each kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market predicts a 50% chance that both Natus Vincere (Na'Vi) and HULIGANI kill Roshan at least once during Game 3 of their Dota 2 match. This neutral probability reflects uncertainty due to limited historical data on Roshan kill-sharing dynamics between these teams.
Both teams have strong early-game coordination and laning presence, increasing the likelihood of securing Roshan kills. Na'Vi's aggressive playstyle and HULIGANI's tactical flexibility could lead to multiple Roshan attempts, satisfying the 'Yes' condition.
Roshan control is often contested, and teams may prioritize other objectives (e.g., towers, objectives) early in the game. If either team focuses on winning lanes or securing early advantages, Roshan kills may be limited, reducing the probability of both teams achieving the condition.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your forecast thesis.
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.