This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 1. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Rampage. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether a Rampage occurred prior to stoppage. If no Rampage occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Key risk: Match forfeit or cancellation before resolution
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:16:37 PM
This market is about whether any player achieves a Rampage during Game 1. In Dota 2, a Rampage occurs when a single player kills all 5 enemy heroes in rapid succession without dying. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Rampage during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Rampage. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether a Rampage occurred prior to stoppage. If no Rampage occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
1%
Signal Score
-49.0
Opportunity
36.8
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for a Rampage in Game 1 of a Dota 2 match is evenly split at 50%, reflecting high uncertainty due to the rarity of the event. The resolution framework is robust, accounting for match cancellations, delays, and forfeits with default 50-50 outcomes.
A Rampage is plausible if either team has a dominant player (e.g., carry or midlaner) with high kill participation and low death rate. Early-game snowballing or a team fight collapse could create the conditions for a single-player rampage.
The historical rarity of Rampages (less than 1% of games) and the need for near-perfect execution by one player make this outcome unlikely. Team coordination and counterplay (e.g., buyback, buyback denial) further reduce the probability.
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Game 1: Any Player Rampage? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 1%.
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