This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both 4ikibamboni and Spirit Academy each kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Key risk: Match forfeiture or cancellation due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 6/26/2026, 1:37:51 PM
This market is about whether both teams kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. Roshan is a powerful neutral boss in Dota 2 that spawns at the start of the game and respawns 8–11 minutes after each death, dropping the Aegis of the Immortal and other valuable items. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both 4ikibamboni and Spirit Academy each kill Roshan at least once during Game 3. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not kill Roshan during Game 3. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 3 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 3 begins but is not completed and ends via forfeit, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had killed Roshan prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 3 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market predicts a 50% chance that both 4ikibamboni and Spirit Academy will kill Roshan at least once during Game 3 of their Dota 2 match. This neutral outcome suggests balanced expectations with no clear favorite.
Both teams are likely to aggressively contest Roshan given its high value in Dota 2, especially in a decisive Game 3 where every objective matters. Teams with strong early-game or jungling capabilities (e.g., Spirit Academy's historical dominance in midlaning) may prioritize securing Roshan kills.
Either team may avoid Roshan due to strategic choices, such as focusing on lane control or tower pushes over objective play. External factors like player fatigue, draft imbalances, or unexpected early game dominance could reduce Roshan-focused engagements.
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Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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