This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Volatility from weekend trading (lower liquidity)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:47:03 AM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) closing above 61,400 on June 27, 2024, at 12AM ET holds a neutral probability of 50%, reflecting balanced market sentiment. The outcome hinges on short-term price volatility and external macroeconomic or regulatory catalysts.
Bitcoin could surge above 61,400 if investor confidence strengthens due to institutional adoption, a dovish U.S. Federal Reserve pivot, or positive regulatory clarity in key markets like the U.S. or Singapore. A breakout above key resistance levels (e.g., 60,000+) could trigger momentum buying.
Bitcoin may fail to surpass 61,400 if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., rising U.S. Treasury yields, geopolitical tensions) dampen risk appetite. Regulatory crackdowns in major markets (e.g., China, South Korea) or a sell-off in traditional markets could also suppress prices.
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Bitcoin above 61,400 on June 27, 12AM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 51%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
