This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Exchange-specific price volatility (Binance liquidity constraints)
AI updated 6/26/2026, 3:46:56 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) closing above 61,200 on June 26 at 1PM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating a highly uncertain outlook with equal odds of both outcomes. The resolution hinges on Binance's BTC/USDT hourly candle close, emphasizing exchange-specific price dynamics.
Bitcoin could close above 61,200 if macroeconomic optimism (e.g., Fed rate cut expectations) or institutional demand (e.g., ETF inflows) drives a late-week rally. Short-term momentum from recent price action (e.g., breakout from consolidation) may also support the upward move.
Bitcoin may fail to surpass 61,200 if profit-taking pressure or negative macro news (e.g., regulatory crackdowns, geopolitical tensions) triggers a pullback. Weak liquidity or low volatility in Asian trading hours could also cap gains.
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Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 26, 1PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
