This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: High volatility in crypto markets leading up to the resolution time
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:07:54 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Bitcoin above $61,200 on June 26 at 11AM ET shows a 50.00% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear directional bias. The resolution hinges on Binance's BTC/USDT closing price at the specified time.
A bullish scenario could emerge if Bitcoin breaks above recent resistance levels, driven by strong institutional demand or positive regulatory news in key markets like the US or Asia. Additionally, a broader risk-on sentiment in traditional markets may fuel further crypto inflows.
A bearish outcome is plausible if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., higher-than-expected US inflation or a hawkish Fed stance) dampen risk appetite, leading to a pullback in Bitcoin. Technical resistance or profit-taking after a prolonged rally could also push prices below $61,200.
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Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 26, 11AM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
