This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Exchange-specific price deviations (Binance vs. other venues)
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:04:12 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) closing above 61,200 on June 26 at 10AM ET shows a neutral probability of 50.00%, indicating balanced expectations of price movement. The resolution hinges on Binance's BTC/USDT 1-hour candle close, with no clear directional bias in current sentiment.
Bitcoin could surpass 61,200 if macroeconomic conditions improve (e.g., dovish Fed signals, ETF inflows, or geopolitical stability), driving risk-on sentiment. Additionally, technical breakout momentum or whale accumulation before the 10AM ET candle could push the price higher.
Bitcoin may fail to clear 61,200 if macro headwinds persist (e.g., hawkish Fed comments, regulatory crackdowns, or macroeconomic downturns), leading to risk-off sentiment. Alternatively, profit-taking or short-term corrections before the deadline could cap gains.
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Bitcoin above 61,200 on June 26, 10AM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 51%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
