This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Binance-specific liquidity constraints
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:46:51 AM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) above 61,000 at the close of the June 27, 12AM ET hourly candle shows a neutral 50% probability, reflecting balanced expectations. The outcome hinges on short-term price volatility and market sentiment leading into the resolution time.
Bitcoin could surge above 61,000 due to renewed institutional demand, positive regulatory clarity, or macroeconomic tailwinds like a weaker USD or dovish Fed signals. A sudden spike in trading volume or a major buy-side catalyst could push the price past the threshold.
Bitcoin may fail to reach 61,000 if bearish sentiment dominates, driven by regulatory crackdowns, macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., higher-than-expected inflation data), or a broader crypto market downturn. A decline in spot ETF inflows could also weigh on prices.
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Bitcoin above 61,000 on June 27, 12AM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 51%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
