This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: High-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms amplifying volatility in the final hour
AI updated 6/26/2026, 4:01:09 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Bitcoin exceeding $61,000 by June 26, 1PM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating a balanced expectation with equal likelihood of resolution. The outcome hinges on short-term price volatility and market sentiment in the 1-hour window preceding resolution.
Bitcoin could surpass $61,000 if macroeconomic conditions (e.g., US inflation data, Fed signals) or institutional demand (e.g., ETF inflows, corporate treasury allocations) trigger a late-session rally. Technical breakouts above key resistance levels (e.g., $60,000–$61,000 range) may accelerate momentum.
A sudden shift in risk sentiment (e.g., geopolitical tensions, regulatory headlines) or profit-taking after recent rallies could push Bitcoin below $61,000. Short-term corrections in altcoins or broader risk assets may also drag BTC lower in the 1-hour window.
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Bitcoin above 61,000 on June 26, 1PM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
