This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Volatility from unexpected macroeconomic events (e.g., geopolitical tensions)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:46:32 AM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Bitcoin being above $60,400 on June 27 at 12AM ET shows a neutral probability of 50%, indicating no clear directional bias. The resolution depends on Binance's BTC/USDT closing price at the specified time.
Bitcoin could surpass $60,400 if macroeconomic conditions improve, such as a dovish Fed pivot or sustained institutional demand. Positive regulatory clarity in key markets (e.g., U.S. or Asia) could also fuel a rally. Short-term momentum from ETF inflows or seasonal trends (e.g., Q2 performance) may push prices higher.
Bitcoin may fail to break $60,400 if macroeconomic headwinds persist, such as persistent inflation or a hawkish Fed stance. Regulatory crackdowns in major markets (e.g., China or U.S.) could dampen sentiment. A broader risk-off sentiment in crypto or macro markets could lead to a pullback below resistance.
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Bitcoin above 60,400 on June 27, 12AM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
