This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: High intraday volatility leading to last-minute price swings
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:07:43 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.3
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Bitcoin above 60,400 on June 26 at 11AM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating an uncertain outlook with balanced risk assessment. The outcome hinges on short-term price volatility and market sentiment around this threshold.
Bitcoin could surge above 60,400 due to strong institutional demand, positive regulatory news, or a macroeconomic shift favoring risk assets. A sustained breakout above this level may trigger momentum buying and technical breakout scenarios.
Bitcoin may fail to surpass 60,400 if macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., recession fears, regulatory crackdowns) dampen risk appetite. Selling pressure near resistance or negative on-chain metrics could lead to a pullback.
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Bitcoin above 60,400 on June 26, 11AM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
