This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Volatility in traditional markets (equities, bonds) spilling over into crypto
AI updated 6/27/2026, 2:45:57 AM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) closing above $59,200 on June 27 at 12AM ET is evenly split with a 50.00% probability, indicating high uncertainty. The market reflects balanced expectations between bullish and bearish scenarios, with no dominant consensus.
Bitcoin could surpass $59,200 if macroeconomic conditions improve, such as a dovish Federal Reserve signal or strong institutional demand. Positive regulatory clarity or ETF inflows could also drive prices higher. Technical momentum from a breakout above key resistance levels may accelerate the rally.
Bitcoin may fail to reach $59,200 if macroeconomic headwinds persist, including recession fears or hawkish central bank policies. Regulatory crackdowns or negative sentiment in traditional markets could suppress demand. A rejection at resistance levels or broader crypto market downturns could cap gains.
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Bitcoin above 59,200 on June 27, 12AM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
