This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Key risk: Volatility spikes due to sudden macroeconomic shocks
AI updated 6/26/2026, 2:02:36 PM
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the "Close" price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that ends on the time and date specified in the title is higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1h" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
51%
Signal Score
+1.0
Opportunity
0.7
Graph Relationships
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) closing above 57,600 on June 26 at 10AM ET shows a 50% probability, indicating a balanced outlook with no clear consensus. The market's neutrality reflects high uncertainty in short-term BTC price movements.
Bitcoin could surge above 57,600 driven by renewed institutional interest, favorable macroeconomic conditions (e.g., softer US inflation data), or a positive regulatory development in key markets like the US or Asia. A breakout above recent resistance levels (e.g., 57,000) could trigger technical buying.
Bitcoin may fail to sustain gains above 57,600 due to profit-taking after recent rallies, macroeconomic headwinds (e.g., hawkish Fed signals), or geopolitical tensions in Asia-Pacific (e.g., China-US trade tensions). A pullback toward 55,000-56,000 could undermine bullish momentum.
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Bitcoin above 57,600 on June 26, 10AM ET? is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 51%.
ORYN aggregates forecasting intelligence across Asia-focused categories including crypto, AI, cricket, startups, and global events.
