This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Sebastian Baez in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Struff” if Jan-Lennard Struff wins set 3. It will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins set 3. If the match begins but set 3 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Key risk: Match cancellation or delay beyond 7 days due to external factors (e.g., weather, scheduling conflicts)
AI updated 6/27/2026, 5:19:24 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Jan-Lennard Struff and Sebastian Baez in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Struff” if Jan-Lennard Struff wins set 3. It will resolve to “Baez” if Sebastian Baez wins set 3. If the match begins but set 3 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for the Set 3 winner between Jan-Lennard Struff and Sebastian Baez at Wimbledon 2026 is perfectly balanced at 50.00%, reflecting no clear favorite based on current form or historical data. The resolution hinges on the outcome of the third set, with a 50-50 fallback if the match is canceled, delayed, or set 3 is not completed.
Struff's prospects improve if he demonstrates superior hard-court performance in 2025-26 or if Baez struggles with injury/consistency. A strong serve or baseline game in set 3 could tilt odds in Struff's favor, especially if Baez's recent form is subpar.
Baez holds the edge if his clay-court success (2024-25) translates to grass, or if Struff's injury history (e.g., back issues) resurfaces. Baez's aggressive style may also exploit Struff's defensive weaknesses in a high-pressure set 3.
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Set 3 Winner: Struff vs Baez is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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