This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Francesco Passaro in the Milan, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Nagal” if Sumit Nagal wins the first set. It will resolve to “Passaro” if Francesco Passaro wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Key risk: match cancellation or delay due to unforeseen circumstances
AI updated 6/27/2026, 11:15:53 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market refers to the tennis match between Sumit Nagal and Francesco Passaro in the Milan, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Nagal” if Sumit Nagal wins the first set. It will resolve to “Passaro” if Francesco Passaro wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for the first set winner between Sumit Nagal and Francesco Passaro is evenly split, indicating no clear favorite. The lack of decisive market movement suggests balanced expectations of performance between the two players.
Sumit Nagal could capitalize on his higher ATP ranking (108 vs Passaro's 137) and recent clay court experience, favoring a strong start to the match. Nagal's consistency in tight matches and Passaro's lower seeding may pressure the latter to take risks, increasing Nagal's chances of winning the first set.
Francesco Passaro may leverage home-court advantage (Milan) and a potential underdog narrative to outperform expectations. Nagal's past struggles in early rounds of Challenger events or Passaro's aggressive baseline play could tilt the first set in Passaro's favor.
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Set 1 Winner: Nagal vs Passaro is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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