This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Mensik" if Jakub Mensik wins by 3 or more sets than Toby Samuel, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Samuel." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Key risk: match cancellation due to weather or other unforeseen events
AI updated 6/27/2026, 7:46:16 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Mensik" if Jakub Mensik wins by 3 or more sets than Toby Samuel, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Samuel." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Jakub Mensik (-2.5) vs Toby Samuel (+2.5) in the Wimbledon ATP match is currently evenly split, indicating no clear favorite. The handicap suggests a close match, with Mensik needing to win by at least 3 sets to resolve as a 'Mensik' outcome.
Mensik's bull case hinges on his recent form, grass-court adaptability, and potential fatigue for Samuel after a long tournament run. A strong serve-and-volley game on grass could tilt the match in his favor, especially if he wins the first two sets decisively.
Samuel's bear case includes his recent upsets of higher-ranked players, endurance in best-of-five sets, and potential home-court advantage if playing in front of British supporters. Mensik's consistency might falter under pressure, leading to a narrow win for Samuel.
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Set Handicap: Mensik (-2.5) vs Samuel (+2.5) is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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