This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Mensik” if Jakub Mensik wins set 3. It will resolve to “Samuel” if Toby Samuel wins set 3. If the match begins but set 3 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Key risk: unexpected_injury_or_withdrawal
AI updated 6/27/2026, 5:17:38 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Mensik” if Jakub Mensik wins set 3. It will resolve to “Samuel” if Toby Samuel wins set 3. If the match begins but set 3 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for the Wimbledon ATP match between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel is evenly split, with a 50% probability for either player to win set 3. The market reflects uncertainty due to limited pre-match data and the high stakes of a Grand Slam event.
Jakub Mensik’s current form and grass-court experience may favor him, as he could leverage his higher ATP ranking and recent performances to secure set 3. If his serve-and-volley style dominates, he may outperform expectations.
Toby Samuel’s rising career trajectory and potential underdog status could drive his performance, especially if Mensik struggles with fatigue or tactical adjustments. Samuel’s recent form in similar conditions may tilt the set in his favor.
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Set 3 Winner: Mensik vs Samuel is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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