This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Mensik” if Jakub Mensik wins set 2. It will resolve to “Samuel” if Toby Samuel wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Key risk: match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:16:23 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Mensik” if Jakub Mensik wins set 2. It will resolve to “Samuel” if Toby Samuel wins set 2. If the match begins but set 2 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 2 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
50%
Signal Score
0.0
Opportunity
0.0
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market for Set 2 winner between Jakub Mensik and Toby Samuel is perfectly balanced at 50.00%, reflecting equal uncertainty or lack of decisive information favoring either player. The resolution conditions heavily favor a 50-50 outcome in case of match delays or early termination, adding to the neutral positioning.
Mensik could win set 2 if he leverages his recent clay-court performance into grass-court adaptability, particularly if his serve-and-volley game proves effective against Samuel's baseline-heavy style. A strong mental game in high-pressure points or an early break advantage could tilt the odds in his favor.
Samuel may prevail if his superior grass-court experience and aggressive baseline play exploit Mensik's potential weaknesses on the surface, particularly in long rallies or tiebreaks. Fatigue from a grueling first set or external factors like weather delays could also favor Samuel's game.
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Set 2 Winner: Mensik vs Samuel is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 50%.
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