This market refers to the tennis match between Vit Kopriva and Jan Choinski in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kopriva" if Vit Kopriva wins by 2 or more sets than Jan Choinski, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Choinski." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Key risk: Match cancellation or postponement beyond 7 days
Calibrated 100% · raw 800% — adjusted by the learning loop
AI updated 6/27/2026, 4:15:53 PM
| Provider | Score | Accuracy | On this market |
|---|---|---|---|
| fincept | 1 | — | Active |
| mistral | — | — | Active |
| oryn_db | — | — | Active |
| polymarket | — | — | Active |
| news | 1 | — | Global only |
| social | 1 | — | Global only |
| economic_calendar | 1 | — | Global only |
| trends | 1 | — | Global only |
| google_trends | 1 | — | Global only |
This market refers to the tennis match between Vit Kopriva and Jan Choinski in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kopriva" if Vit Kopriva wins by 2 or more sets than Jan Choinski, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Choinski." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
Crowd Consensus
46%
ORYN Consensus
54%
Signal Score
+8.0
Opportunity
5.8
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The market favors Jan Choinski (+1.5) with a 54% implied probability, indicating a slight underdog advantage in the handicap prediction. The handicap requires Kopriva to win by 2+ sets, which is statistically less likely given the current odds and typical ATP match dynamics.
Kopriva’s recent form or head-to-head data may show superior clay-court performance, increasing the likelihood of a 2+ set victory. A dominant serve or baseline game could sway the handicap in his favor, especially if Choinski is prone to early-set fatigue.
Choinski’s higher ATP ranking and consistent performance on grass courts may mitigate the handicap, making a 1-set win sufficient for resolution. External factors like weather delays or match postponements could also trigger a 50-50 resolution, favoring Choinski.
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Set Handicap: Kopriva (-1.5) vs Choinski (+1.5) is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 46% while ORYN AI estimates 54%.
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