This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Gaston” if Hugo Gaston wins set 3. It will resolve to “Tsitsipas” if Stefanos Tsitsipas wins set 3. If the match begins but set 3 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Key risk: match cancellation or delay beyond resolution window
AI updated 6/27/2026, 6:31:10 AM
This market refers to the tennis match between Hugo Gaston and Stefanos Tsitsipas in the Wimbledon ATP, originally scheduled for June 29, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Gaston” if Hugo Gaston wins set 3. It will resolve to “Tsitsipas” if Stefanos Tsitsipas wins set 3. If the match begins but set 3 is not completed with a winner determined (including the match ending before set 3 is reached), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
Crowd Consensus
50%
ORYN Consensus
52%
Signal Score
+2.0
Opportunity
1.1
ORYN is polling its model network — Claude, GPT, Gemini and more — for this market. The consensus and per-model dissent will appear here.
Regime: — · Confidence: 0%
The prediction market for Set 3 winner between Hugo Gaston and Stefanos Tsitsipas is evenly split at 50%, reflecting no clear favorite. The neutral probability suggests equal perceived chances of either player winning the third set of their Wimbledon ATP match.
Hugo Gaston could leverage his clay-court strengths and underdog status to outperform expectations, particularly if Tsitsipas struggles with fatigue or court adaptation. A strong serve or break-point conversion in the third set would favor Gaston's chances.
Stefanos Tsitsipas is a higher-ranked player with greater experience on grass, making him the favorite despite the market's neutrality. Tsitsipas's baseline power and consistency in big sets could dominate the third set.
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Set 3 Winner: Gaston vs Tsitsipas is tracked on ORYN with data sourced from polymarket. Current market-implied probability is 50% while ORYN AI estimates 52%.
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